FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

153.55 – 51.47

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

140 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 11 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 362.6 ±10.5

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 86.26Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 59.62Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9182Tech Tr1be

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 7.67Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 150.2 ±13.3

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 4.19Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 18.75Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 28.53Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5462, 4855, 9182

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5462, 4855, 9182

Auto

28.5 19%

Teleop

80.8 53%

Endgame

44.2 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11491, 9549, 6548

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11491, 9549, 6548

Auto

13.1 27%

Teleop

27.0 56%

Endgame

8.3 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score153.5pts

Blue projected score51.5pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 102.1
Score range: 28–177
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 183 vs event baseline 129.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

362.6Season APEX150.2

28.5Auto13.1

80.8Teleop27

44.2Endgame8.3

35Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	20
teleop	78	14
endgame	42	4
foul	0	5
total	140	43

Result

Final score

140 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 11 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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