FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

187.72 – 57.27

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

163 – 171

Prediction missed · off by 69.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 371 ±11.4

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 99.61Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1504Desperate Penguins

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 28.12Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 59.99Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402.1 ±11.7

2960Automation Nation

Season APEX 257Event APEX 47.03Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 28.64Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7203Cyber Bearcats

Season APEX 15.8Event APEX -18.4Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 503, 1504, 9208

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 503, 1504, 9208

Auto

44.6 25%

Teleop

104.3 58%

Endgame

30.2 17%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2960, 74, 7203

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2960, 74, 7203

Auto

15.6 29%

Teleop

29.0 54%

Endgame

9.3 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score187.7pts

Blue projected score57.3pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 130.5
Score range: 34–211
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 334 vs event baseline 128.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

371Season APEX402.1

44.6Auto15.6

104.3Teleop29

30.2Endgame9.3

43Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	35
teleop	88	110
endgame	47	6
foul	0	20
total	163	171

Result

Final score

163 – 171

Prediction missed · off by 69.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.