FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.36 – 120.95

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

106 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 27.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.2 ±12.2

5182Chieftainators

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX -9.07Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 22.65Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 44.78Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 268.8 ±11.6

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 56.31Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 5.94Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5535Bionic Bison

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 58.7Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5182, 4325, 3452

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5182, 4325, 3452

Auto

21.0 39%

Teleop

21.2 39%

Endgame

11.7 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7814, 10642, 5535

/ 100 compat

Projected

121 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7814, 10642, 5535

Auto

24.1 20%

Teleop

61.4 50%

Endgame

36.9 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58.4pts

Blue projected score121pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.6
Score range: 35–144
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 128.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206.2Season APEX268.8

21Auto24.1

21.2Teleop61.4

11.7Endgame36.9

11Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	17
teleop	46	77
endgame	32	34
foul	0	0
total	106	128

Result

Final score

106 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 27.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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