FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.49 – 68.82

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

93 – 154

Prediction missed · off by 47.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.6 ±12.7

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 71.9Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 17.55Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 13.04Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.7 ±12.4

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 49.81Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1940Tech Tigers 1940

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX -2.35Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 21.36Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2959, 10473, 6588

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2959, 10473, 6588

Auto

16.9 17%

Teleop

69.8 68%

Endgame

15.3 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3620, 1940, 9758

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3620, 1940, 9758

Auto

19.2 28%

Teleop

29.8 43%

Endgame

20.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score102.5pts

Blue projected score68.8pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.7
Score range: 46–125
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 247 vs event baseline 128.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210.6Season APEX320.7

16.9Auto19.2

69.8Teleop29.8

15.3Endgame20.3

5Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	42
teleop	33	86
endgame	12	21
foul	20	5
total	93	154

Result

Final score

93 – 154

Prediction missed · off by 47.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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