FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

110.35 – 18.48

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

188 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 48.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 321.2 ±12.2

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 21.85Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 54.81Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11431TechnoTigers

Season APEX 74Event APEX 33.69Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 117.2 ±12.7

7203Cyber Bearcats

Season APEX 15.8Event APEX -24.07Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 31.78Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9182Tech Tr1be

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 10.77Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 74, 4855, 11431

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 74, 4855, 11431

Auto

24.7 23%

Teleop

58.6 54%

Endgame

24.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7203, 6548, 9182

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7203, 6548, 9182

Auto

9.2 55%

Teleop

2.6 16%

Endgame

4.9 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110.4pts

Blue projected score18.5pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 91.9
Score range: -5–133
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 226 vs event baseline 126.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

321.2Season APEX117.2

24.7Auto9.2

58.6Teleop2.6

24.5Endgame4.9

41Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	11
teleop	111	12
endgame	37	15
foul	5	0
total	188	38

Result

Final score

188 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 48.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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