FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

134.04 – 266.83

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 313

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 340.1 ±12

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 18.17Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 106.04Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 9.83Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 603.2 ±9.5

2960Automation Nation

Season APEX 257Event APEX 44.81Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 52.2Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 169.82Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11511, 503, 11491

/ 100 compat

Projected

134 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11511, 503, 11491

Auto

35.1 28%

Teleop

57.8 46%

Endgame

32.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2960, 9208, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2960, 9208, 6002

Auto

58.7 22%

Teleop

155.1 59%

Endgame

49.8 19%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score134pts

Blue projected score266.8pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -132.8
Score range: 111–290
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 398 vs event baseline 125.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

340.1Season APEX603.2

35.1Auto58.7

57.8Teleop155.1

32.8Endgame49.8

65Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	56
teleop	32	186
endgame	14	66
foul	20	5
total	85	313

Result

Final score

85 – 313

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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