FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

185.62 – 70.13

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

304 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 77.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 345 ±11.7

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 24.19Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 149.7Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 11.73Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 122.5 ±13.9

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 2.93Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 32.64Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1504Desperate Penguins

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 34.56Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5927, 4237, 9549

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5927, 4237, 9549

Auto

34.5 19%

Teleop

122.3 67%

Endgame

25.9 14%

Strengths

· 4237 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2604, 7809, 1504

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2604, 7809, 1504

Auto

12.8 19%

Teleop

35.6 53%

Endgame

19.2 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.13 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score185.6pts

Blue projected score70.1pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.5
Score range: 48–208
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 337 vs event baseline 124.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

345Season APEX122.5

34.5Auto12.8

122.3Teleop35.6

25.9Endgame19.2

3Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	14
teleop	176	10
endgame	70	9
foul	5	0
total	304	33

Result

Final score

304 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 77.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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