FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

41.69 – 93.88

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

129 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 84.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 229.2 ±12.2

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 1.95Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 48.86Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1940Tech Tigers 1940

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX -9.12Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.6 ±11.7

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 3.58Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 14.96Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 75.34Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10666, 7814, 1940

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10666, 7814, 1940

Auto

16.4 38%

Teleop

14.5 34%

Endgame

12.0 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10473, 9758, 5462

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10473, 9758, 5462

Auto

24.2 27%

Teleop

46.5 52%

Endgame

18.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score41.7pts

Blue projected score93.9pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -52.2
Score range: 20–116
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 304 vs event baseline 124.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

229.2Season APEX281.6

16.4Auto24.2

14.5Teleop46.5

12Endgame18.1

52Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	30
teleop	52	108
endgame	57	37
foul	5	0
total	129	175

Result

Final score

129 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 84.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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