FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

33.95 – 179.97

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

99 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 44 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 253.1 ±12.7

9182Tech Tr1be

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 7.88Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 15.7Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 10.37Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 376.9 ±11.2

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 114.5Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 52.92Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 12.55Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9182, 74, 6588

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9182, 74, 6588

Auto

13.3 36%

Teleop

18.6 50%

Endgame

5.0 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10633, 3452, 5227

/ 100 compat

Projected

180 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10633, 3452, 5227

Auto

32.4 18%

Teleop

97.1 55%

Endgame

47.2 27%

Strengths

· 10633 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score33.9pts

Blue projected score180pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -146
Score range: 12–202
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 256 vs event baseline 124.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

253.1Season APEX376.9

13.3Auto32.4

18.6Teleop97.1

5Endgame47.2

30Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	42
teleop	49	77
endgame	34	38
foul	5	0
total	99	157

Result

Final score

99 – 157

Prediction correct · off by 44 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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