FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

68.19 – 115.63

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.7 ±13.3

5182Chieftainators

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 0.92Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 32.68Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1504Desperate Penguins

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 34.59Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.7 ±12.2

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 53.74Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 54Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 7.89Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5182, 5927, 1504

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5182, 5927, 1504

Auto

13.6 23%

Teleop

41.1 69%

Endgame

4.8 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9208, 4855, 11491

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9208, 4855, 11491

Auto

31.6 28%

Teleop

56.3 50%

Endgame

25.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score68.2pts

Blue projected score115.6pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47.4
Score range: 46–138
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 203 vs event baseline 124.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

147.7Season APEX241.7

13.6Auto31.6

41.1Teleop56.3

4.8Endgame25.5

5Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	37
teleop	25	100
endgame	13	14
foul	0	0
total	52	151

Result

Final score

52 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 25.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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