FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

152.72 – 240.8

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

170 – 405

Prediction correct · off by 90.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.3 ±12

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 8.63Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 170.43Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7203Cyber Bearcats

Season APEX 15.8Event APEX -26.34Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 443.1 ±10.5

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 131.19Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 57.91Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5535Bionic Bison

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 51.7Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2604, 6002, 7203

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2604, 6002, 7203

Auto

38.9 26%

Teleop

66.8 45%

Endgame

43.4 29%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4237, 2959, 5535

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4237, 2959, 5535

Auto

37.2 16%

Teleop

152.4 64%

Endgame

49.4 21%

Strengths

· 4237 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.96 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score152.7pts

Blue projected score240.8pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.1
Score range: 131–263
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 575 vs event baseline 120.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.3Season APEX443.1

38.9Auto37.2

66.8Teleop152.4

43.4Endgame49.4

66Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	60
teleop	116	261
endgame	10	79
foul	0	5
total	170	405

Result

Final score

170 – 405

Prediction correct · off by 90.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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