FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

86.29 – 96.53

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

85 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 1.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 195.1 ±12.7

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 13.51Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 61.54Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 11.24Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.1 ±13.3

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 22.96Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX -0.74Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 74.31Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9549, 9208, 4325

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9549, 9208, 4325

Auto

27.0 33%

Teleop

43.2 53%

Endgame

11.2 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9758, 2604, 2959

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9758, 2604, 2959

Auto

19.6 22%

Teleop

54.6 61%

Endgame

16.0 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score86.3pts

Blue projected score96.5pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.2
Score range: 60–123
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 180 vs event baseline 144.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

195.1Season APEX148.1

27Auto19.6

43.2Teleop54.6

11.2Endgame16

4Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	28
teleop	43	64
endgame	19	3
foul	0	0
total	85	95

Result

Final score

85 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 1.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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