FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

122.14 – 86.42

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

161 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 558.2 ±9.9

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 26.11Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 46.54Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2960Automation Nation

Season APEX 257Event APEX 49.49Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 154.1 ±13.9

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 22.26Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 21.03Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 43.13Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6548, 3620, 2960

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6548, 3620, 2960

Auto

24.4 20%

Teleop

70.8 57%

Endgame

28.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11511, 9549, 7809

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11511, 9549, 7809

Auto

11.9 14%

Teleop

36.5 43%

Endgame

37.1 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score122.1pts

Blue projected score86.4pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 35.7
Score range: 64–144
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 202 vs event baseline 121.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

558.2Season APEX154.1

24.4Auto11.9

70.8Teleop36.5

28.7Endgame37.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	12
teleop	97	5
endgame	39	4
foul	0	20
total	161	41

Result

Final score

161 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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