FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.22 – 64.96

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

77 – 44

Prediction missed · off by 25.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 133.5 ±13.9

11431TechnoTigers

Season APEX 74Event APEX 34.42Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5182Chieftainators

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 2.66Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 10.14Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.2 ±12.7

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 20.95Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 12.84Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 31.17Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11431, 5182, 9758

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11431, 5182, 9758

Auto

9.4 18%

Teleop

29.1 57%

Endgame

12.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 74, 11491, 5927

/ 100 compat

Projected

65 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 74, 11491, 5927

Auto

25.3 40%

Teleop

34.5 55%

Endgame

2.9 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.2pts

Blue projected score65pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.7
Score range: 25–87
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 121 vs event baseline 122.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

133.5Season APEX241.2

9.4Auto25.3

29.1Teleop34.5

12.5Endgame2.9

0Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	13
teleop	17	16
endgame	7	15
foul	35	0
total	77	44

Result

Final score

77 – 44

Prediction missed · off by 25.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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