FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

218.26 – 0.79

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

272 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 57 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 328.4 ±11.7

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 57.11Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 162.12Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX -0.97Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 170.5 ±12.2

7203Cyber Bearcats

Season APEX 15.8Event APEX -20.85Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 8.96Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 12.68Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9208, 4237, 2604

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9208, 4237, 2604

Auto

46.0 21%

Teleop

137.1 63%

Endgame

35.7 16%

Strengths

· 4237 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7203, 10666, 10473

/ 100 compat

Projected

0.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7203, 10666, 10473

Auto

11.1 0%

Teleop

-11.1 100%

Endgame

-1.3 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score218.3pts

Blue projected score0.8pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 217.5
Score range: -22–241
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 333 vs event baseline 126.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

328.4Season APEX170.5

46Auto11.1

137.1Teleop-11.1

35.7Endgame-1.3

33Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	15
teleop	161	24
endgame	46	17
foul	5	5
total	272	61

Result

Final score

272 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 57 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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