FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

203.3 – 112.42

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

255 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 381.2 ±11.4

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 24.84Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 164.94Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 13.52Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 233 ±12.2

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 25.49Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 69.27Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 17.66Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6548, 6002, 11511

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6548, 6002, 11511

Auto

36.7 18%

Teleop

101.2 50%

Endgame

62.8 31%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4325, 4855, 11399

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4325, 4855, 11399

Auto

20.6 18%

Teleop

61.2 53%

Endgame

33.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score203.3pts

Blue projected score112.4pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.9
Score range: 90–225
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 341 vs event baseline 119.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

381.2Season APEX233

36.7Auto20.6

101.2Teleop61.2

62.8Endgame33.5

12Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	22
teleop	128	48
endgame	78	16
foul	0	0
total	255	86

Result

Final score

255 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 39.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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