FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.85 – 209.97

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 265.3 ±12.8

5535Bionic Bison

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 53.62Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 22.15Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 15.08Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 445.9 ±10.7

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 115.89Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 17.79Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 76.29Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5535, 5227, 6588

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5535, 5227, 6588

Auto

21.6 24%

Teleop

47.1 53%

Endgame

20.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10633, 9549, 5462

/ 100 compat

Projected

210 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10633, 9549, 5462

Auto

26.6 13%

Teleop

106.4 52%

Endgame

70.2 35%

Strengths

· 10633 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.9pts

Blue projected score210pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -119.1
Score range: 70–231
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 297 vs event baseline 118.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

265.3Season APEX445.9

21.6Auto26.6

47.1Teleop106.4

20Endgame70.2

35Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	36
teleop	32	166
endgame	15	23
foul	0	0
total	72	225

Result

Final score

72 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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