FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

25.47 – 76.73

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

33 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 5.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 117.8 ±13.3

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 12.91Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 0.71Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 11.85Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 207 ±12.2

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 57.57Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 11.02Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 8.14Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11491, 10473, 2604

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11491, 10473, 2604

Auto

16.7 75%

Teleop

0.7 3%

Endgame

4.9 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3452, 9758, 10642

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3452, 9758, 10642

Auto

26.1 36%

Teleop

26.4 36%

Endgame

20.7 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score25.5pts

Blue projected score76.7pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -51.3
Score range: 3–99
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 107 vs event baseline 120.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

117.8Season APEX207

16.7Auto26.1

0.7Teleop26.4

4.9Endgame20.7

59Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	22
teleop	9	34
endgame	1	18
foul	0	0
total	33	74

Result

Final score

33 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 5.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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