FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

299.67 – 54.96

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

126 – 132

Prediction missed · off by 125.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 420.3 ±10.8

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 193.72Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1940Tech Tigers 1940

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 7.7Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 98.25Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 429.5 ±11.7

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 21.6Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 10.62Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 22.74Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6002, 1940, 4855

/ 100 compat

Projected

299.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 1940, 4855

Auto

58.5 20%

Teleop

163.9 55%

Endgame

76.1 25%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 74, 11399, 3620

/ 100 compat

Projected

55 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 74, 11399, 3620

Auto

19.3 32%

Teleop

34.7 57%

Endgame

7.2 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score299.7pts

Blue projected score55pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 244.7
Score range: 34–321
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 258 vs event baseline 117.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

420.3Season APEX429.5

58.5Auto19.3

163.9Teleop34.7

76.1Endgame7.2

63Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	24
teleop	67	83
endgame	23	25
foul	0	0
total	126	132

Result

Final score

126 – 132

Prediction missed · off by 125.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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