FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

15.3 – 148.54

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

80 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.7 ±12.8

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 5.79Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 3.52Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 5.99Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300 ±11.7

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 111.9Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7203Cyber Bearcats

Season APEX 15.8Event APEX -9.11Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 45.75Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9549, 6588, 10666

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9549, 6588, 10666

Auto

9.0 63%

Teleop

3.3 23%

Endgame

2.0 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10633, 7203, 2959

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10633, 7203, 2959

Auto

9.5 7%

Teleop

87.9 61%

Endgame

47.3 33%

Strengths

· 10633 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score15.3pts

Blue projected score148.5pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -133.2
Score range: -6–170
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 203 vs event baseline 117.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

233.7Season APEX300

9Auto9.5

3.3Teleop87.9

2Endgame47.3

0Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	26
teleop	45	57
endgame	24	30
foul	0	10
total	80	123

Result

Final score

80 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 45.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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