FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

139.81 – 83.63

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

146 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 288.6 ±11.7

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 77.04Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 36.21Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 26.56Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.5 ±11.1

2960Automation Nation

Season APEX 257Event APEX 44.02Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 22.17Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 17.44Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5462, 7809, 6548

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5462, 7809, 6548

Auto

19.4 14%

Teleop

75.7 56%

Endgame

41.0 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2960, 4325, 5927

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2960, 4325, 5927

Auto

20.5 24%

Teleop

50.9 61%

Endgame

12.7 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score139.8pts

Blue projected score83.6pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.2
Score range: 63–161
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 117.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

288.6Season APEX387.5

19.4Auto20.5

75.7Teleop50.9

41Endgame12.7

11Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	39
teleop	74	74
endgame	48	3
foul	0	0
total	146	116

Result

Final score

146 – 116

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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