Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
110.45 – 51.2
68%32%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
96 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 8.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 247.8 ±11.6
Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 56.29Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 0.39Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 53.77Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 145.3 ±13.3
Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 9.31Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 32.39Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 9.5Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3452, 10473, 9208
58
/ 100 compatProjected
110.5 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3452, 10473, 9208
Auto
37.8 34%
Teleop
52.2 47%
Endgame
20.3 18%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11399, 11491, 9182
39
/ 100 compatProjected
51.2 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 11399, 11491, 9182
Auto
14.5 30%
Teleop
25.3 52%
Endgame
9.0 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score110.5pts
Blue projected score51.2pts
Red win probability68%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 59.3
- Score range
- 30–131
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
247.8Season APEX145.3
37.8Auto14.5
52.2Teleop25.3
20.3Endgame9
38Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 39 | 22 |
| teleop | 39 | 13 |
| endgame | 3 | 13 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 96 | 48 |
Result
Final score
96 – 48
Prediction correct · off by 8.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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