FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

230.66 – 179.65

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 84.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 568.6 ±10.2

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 22.35Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 198.24Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 10.07Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263.6 ±12.4

5182Chieftainators

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 28.25Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7203Cyber Bearcats

Season APEX 15.8Event APEX 17.56Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 133.84Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3620, 6002, 9549

/ 100 compat

Projected

230.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3620, 6002, 9549

Auto

49.5 22%

Teleop

124.5 55%

Endgame

50.7 23%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5182, 7203, 4237

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5182, 7203, 4237

Auto

23.4 14%

Teleop

108.1 63%

Endgame

41.2 24%

Strengths

· 4237 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score230.7pts

Blue projected score179.7pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51
Score range: 159–252
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 242 vs event baseline 116.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

568.6Season APEX263.6

49.5Auto23.4

124.5Teleop108.1

50.7Endgame41.2

30Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	8
teleop	125	11
endgame	54	1
foul	0	0
total	222	20

Result

Final score

222 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 84.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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