FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.98 – 95.3

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 56.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 144.1 ±13.3

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 32.23Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 20.43Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 24.32Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 345.9 ±11.4

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 78.23Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 10.92Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 6.15Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7809, 5927, 9758

/ 100 compat

Projected

77 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7809, 5927, 9758

Auto

16.1 21%

Teleop

46.9 61%

Endgame

14.2 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 503, 6548, 5227

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 503, 6548, 5227

Auto

29.5 32%

Teleop

34.2 37%

Endgame

28.8 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score77pts

Blue projected score95.3pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.3
Score range: 56–116
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 254 vs event baseline 116.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

144.1Season APEX345.9

16.1Auto29.5

46.9Teleop34.2

14.2Endgame28.8

0Consistency191

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	39
teleop	35	110
endgame	16	29
foul	0	15
total	61	193

Result

Final score

61 – 193

Prediction correct · off by 56.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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