FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.33 – 97.94

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 261 ±12.4

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 39.56Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 26.23Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 12.54Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 344.9 ±12.4

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX -0.5Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 61.2Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11431TechnoTigers

Season APEX 74Event APEX 37.24Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11511, 302, 2604

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11511, 302, 2604

Auto

12.4 16%

Teleop

39.3 52%

Endgame

24.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6588, 5462, 11431

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6588, 5462, 11431

Auto

20.3 21%

Teleop

51.3 53%

Endgame

24.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score78.3pts

Blue projected score97.9pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.6
Score range: 57–119
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 219 vs event baseline 116.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

261Season APEX344.9

12.4Auto20.3

39.3Teleop51.3

24.2Endgame24.5

72Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	28
teleop	4	81
endgame	53	35
foul	0	0
total	75	144

Result

Final score

75 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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