FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

48.17 – 17.56

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

178 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 66.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.9 ±12.7

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 16.44Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 20.9Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 10.83Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 153 ±13.3

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 12.47Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 11.77Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX -6.68Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11491, 7814, 2959

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11491, 7814, 2959

Auto

18.1 42%

Teleop

31.5 73%

Endgame

-6.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11399, 9549, 10473

/ 100 compat

Projected

17.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11399, 9549, 10473

Auto

0.0 0%

Teleop

10.8 55%

Endgame

9.0 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.2pts

Blue projected score17.6pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30.6
Score range: -3–69
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 199 vs event baseline 117.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219.9Season APEX153

18.1Auto0

31.5Teleop10.8

-6.5Endgame9

51Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	18
teleop	122	3
endgame	33	0
foul	0	0
total	178	21

Result

Final score

178 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 66.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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