FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

112.33 – 197.32

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

162 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 50.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.8 ±12

7203Cyber Bearcats

Season APEX 15.8Event APEX 10.8Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 74.65Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 26.88Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.2 ±11.2

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 18.67Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 103.69Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 74.96Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7203, 503, 7809

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7203, 503, 7809

Auto

14.4 13%

Teleop

72.9 67%

Endgame

22.3 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9758, 10633, 4855

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9758, 10633, 4855

Auto

35.3 18%

Teleop

108.5 55%

Endgame

54.3 27%

Strengths

· 10633 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score112.3pts

Blue projected score197.3pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -85
Score range: 91–218
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 411 vs event baseline 114.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.8Season APEX352.2

14.4Auto35.3

72.9Teleop108.5

22.3Endgame54.3

106Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	22
teleop	66	143
endgame	47	84
foul	5	0
total	162	249

Result

Final score

162 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 50.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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