FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

8.7 – 72.16

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 97.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.9 ±13.3

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX -3.3Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2604Metal and Soul

Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 5.73Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 6.27Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.8 ±11.7

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 20.63Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9208Eddies Circuit

Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 31.8Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11511CRTechnic

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 19.73Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5227, 2604, 74

/ 100 compat

Projected

8.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5227, 2604, 74

Auto

23.1 100%

Teleop

3.9 38%

Endgame

-16.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3620, 9208, 11511

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3620, 9208, 11511

Auto

29.5 41%

Teleop

30.1 42%

Endgame

11.5 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score8.7pts

Blue projected score72.2pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -63.5
Score range: -11–92
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 276 vs event baseline 113.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212.9Season APEX388.8

23.1Auto29.5

3.9Teleop30.1

-16.6Endgame11.5

181Consistency80

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	35
teleop	41	104
endgame	33	39
foul	0	0
total	98	178

Result

Final score

98 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 97.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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