FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

179.89 – 223.85

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

155 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 41 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 502.3 ±9.3

54622Paw Robotics

Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 72.24Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5535Bionic Bison

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 66.26Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 41.39Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 445.7 ±10.8

1504Desperate Penguins

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX -14.75Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 47.77Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 190.83Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5462, 5535, 302

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5462, 5535, 302

Auto

39.6 22%

Teleop

97.4 55%

Endgame

39.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1504, 3452, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

223.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1504, 3452, 6002

Auto

52.0 24%

Teleop

113.0 52%

Endgame

54.4 25%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score179.9pts

Blue projected score223.9pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -44
Score range: 160–244
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 436 vs event baseline 109.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

502.3Season APEX445.7

39.6Auto52

97.4Teleop113

39.8Endgame54.4

37Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	57
teleop	66	149
endgame	70	60
foul	5	15
total	155	281

Result

Final score

155 – 281

Prediction correct · off by 41 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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