FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

115.97 – 135.25

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 71.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 172.6 ±13.3

11431TechnoTigers

Season APEX 74Event APEX 56.63Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1940Tech Tigers 1940

Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 15.89Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 43.45Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 531.1 ±9.9

9182Tech Tr1be

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX -2.2Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2960Automation Nation

Season APEX 257Event APEX 6.34Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 131.11Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11431, 1940, 4325

/ 100 compat

Projected

116 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11431, 1940, 4325

Auto

32.9 28%

Teleop

62.0 52%

Endgame

23.8 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9182, 2960, 4237

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9182, 2960, 4237

Auto

21.1 17%

Teleop

80.6 64%

Endgame

24.6 19%

Strengths

· 4237 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score116pts

Blue projected score135.3pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.3
Score range: 97–154
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 275 vs event baseline 108.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

172.6Season APEX531.1

32.9Auto21.1

62Teleop80.6

23.8Endgame24.6

66Consistency117

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	43
teleop	13	128
endgame	23	48
foul	0	0
total	56	219

Result

Final score

56 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 71.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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