FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

66.42 – 28.48

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

22 – 111

Prediction missed · off by 63.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.8 ±12.7

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 36.88Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 11.33Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 18.21Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 181.1 ±12.2

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 12.18Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX -7.26Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5182Chieftainators

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 23.56Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5927, 10642, 6588

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5927, 10642, 6588

Auto

21.0 33%

Teleop

32.8 52%

Endgame

9.6 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6548, 10666, 5182

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6548, 10666, 5182

Auto

5.0 21%

Teleop

7.4 32%

Endgame

10.9 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.64 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score66.4pts

Blue projected score28.5pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.9
Score range: 8–86
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 133 vs event baseline 110.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191.8Season APEX181.1

21Auto5

32.8Teleop7.4

9.6Endgame10.9

0Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	17
teleop	5	67
endgame	3	27
foul	0	0
total	22	111

Result

Final score

22 – 111

Prediction missed · off by 63.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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