FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

46.44 – 49.52

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

31 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 79 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 323.8 ±12.4

3620Average Joes

Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 19.99Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5227Eagle Elite

Season APEX 59.4Event APEX 4.45Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7203Cyber Bearcats

Season APEX 15.8Event APEX 22Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.6 ±11.4

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 50.1Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX -2.67Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 2.09Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3620, 5227, 7203

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3620, 5227, 7203

Auto

16.0 45%

Teleop

16.5 46%

Endgame

3.3 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 503, 11399, 7814

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 503, 11399, 7814

Auto

14.0 25%

Teleop

31.9 56%

Endgame

10.6 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score46.4pts

Blue projected score49.5pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.1
Score range: 26–70
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 223 vs event baseline 110.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

323.8Season APEX373.6

16Auto14

16.5Teleop31.9

3.3Endgame10.6

95Consistency157

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	37
teleop	6	112
endgame	8	38
foul	0	5
total	31	192

Result

Final score

31 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 79 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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