FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

166.05 – 40.78

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

171 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 2.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.8 ±12.4

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 32.48Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5182Chieftainators

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 25.29Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10633BeeBotics

Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 108.28Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.6 ±13.3

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 21.05Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1504Desperate Penguins

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX -10.17Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4325RoboRangers

Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 29.9Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6588, 5182, 10633

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6588, 5182, 10633

Auto

18.4 11%

Teleop

102.7 63%

Endgame

43.0 26%

Strengths

· 10633 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11491, 1504, 4325

/ 100 compat

Projected

40.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11491, 1504, 4325

Auto

16.1 58%

Teleop

3.5 13%

Endgame

8.4 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score166.1pts

Blue projected score40.8pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 125.3
Score range: 21–186
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 212 vs event baseline 109.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

294.8Season APEX166.6

18.4Auto16.1

102.7Teleop3.5

43Endgame8.4

63Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	15
teleop	102	21
endgame	51	5
foul	5	0
total	171	41

Result

Final score

171 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 2.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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