FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

27.68 – 90.1

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 89.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.8 ±12.1

2959Robotarians

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 7.83Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 18.54Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 1.31Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315.2 ±11.7

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 115.77Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7809FROST BYTE Robotics

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX -10.47Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10642Comstock Colts

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX -15.2Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2959, 74, 6548

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2959, 74, 6548

Auto

13.0 44%

Teleop

8.9 30%

Endgame

7.8 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4237, 7809, 10642

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4237, 7809, 10642

Auto

31.1 37%

Teleop

44.8 53%

Endgame

8.0 10%

Strengths

· 4237 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score27.7pts

Blue projected score90.1pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.4
Score range: 9–109
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 296 vs event baseline 107.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

268.8Season APEX315.2

13Auto31.1

8.9Teleop44.8

7.8Endgame8

143Consistency142

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	21
teleop	49	145
endgame	6	61
foul	0	0
total	69	227

Result

Final score

69 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 89.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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