Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
60.38 – 242.79
9%91%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
76 – 210
Prediction correct · off by 24.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 177.1 ±12.7
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 17.32Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 11.71Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67Event APEX 31.35Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430.4 ±11.4
Season APEX 75Event APEX 12.52Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 40.79Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 189.48Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9182, 11511, 5927
36
/ 100 compatProjected
60.4 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9182, 11511, 5927
Auto
14.9 25%
Teleop
23.1 39%
Endgame
21.3 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6588, 7814, 6002
81
/ 100 compatProjected
242.8 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6588, 7814, 6002
Auto
38.9 16%
Teleop
132.1 55%
Endgame
68.0 28%
Strengths
- · 6002 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.57 · Blue 2.37
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score60.4pts
Blue projected score242.8pts
Red win probability9%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -182.4
- Score range
- 34–269
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
177.1Season APEX430.4
14.9Auto38.9
23.1Teleop132.1
21.3Endgame68
1Consistency15
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 46 |
| teleop | 27 | 135 |
| endgame | 18 | 29 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 76 | 210 |
Result
Final score
76 – 210
Prediction correct · off by 24.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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