FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

106.41 – 201.38

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 44 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.5 ±12.7

9182Tech Tr1be

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 20.85Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11431TechnoTigers

Season APEX 74Event APEX 65.09Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10473Team Lance-B-Bot

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 20.47Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 440.3 ±10

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 172.7Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10666Green MachineZ

Season APEX 106Event APEX 1.64Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 27.04Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9182, 11431, 10473

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9182, 11431, 10473

Auto

20.6 20%

Teleop

53.6 52%

Endgame

29.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6002, 10666, 5927

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6002, 10666, 5927

Auto

45.2 22%

Teleop

118.9 58%

Endgame

39.4 19%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score106.4pts

Blue projected score201.4pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95
Score range: 87–220
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 263 vs event baseline 106.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

171.5Season APEX440.3

20.6Auto45.2

53.6Teleop118.9

29.3Endgame39.4

59Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	51
teleop	20	110
endgame	5	52
foul	0	10
total	40	223

Result

Final score

40 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 44 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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