Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0.11116.17

19%81%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

4666

Prediction correct · off by 48 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 148 ±13.9
Season APEX 37Event APEX 17.26Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.6Event APEX -13.54Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 59.4Event APEX -3.61Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 412.1 ±11.2
Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 48.07Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 257Event APEX -3.22Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 71.32Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9758, 11399, 5227
8
/ 100 compat
Projected
0.1 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9758, 11399, 5227
Auto
8.2 100%
Teleop
-9.5 0%
Endgame
2.3 100%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2604, 2960, 5535
71
/ 100 compat
Projected
116.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2604, 2960, 5535
Auto
23.9 20%
Teleop
68.3 59%
Endgame
24.5 21%
Strengths
Weaknesses
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.06
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score0.1pts
Blue projected score116.2pts
Red win probability19%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-116.1
Score range
-20136
Upset likelihood
19%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 112 vs event baseline 109.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

148Season APEX412.1
8.2Auto23.9
-9.5Teleop68.3
2.3Endgame24.5
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1223
teleop2434
endgame109
foul00
total4666

Result

Final score

4666

Prediction correct · off by 48 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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