FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

124.93 – 68.75

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 164

Prediction missed · off by 61.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 258.7 ±12.2

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 81.66Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7814RV Gearheads

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 18.01Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9549The Mechadogs

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 25.26Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 429.1 ±10.8

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 28.53Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 7.91Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 32.31Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4855, 7814, 9549

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4855, 7814, 9549

Auto

30.3 23%

Teleop

76.8 60%

Endgame

21.9 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3452, 6588, 503

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3452, 6588, 503

Auto

27.9 38%

Teleop

37.7 52%

Endgame

7.3 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score124.9pts

Blue projected score68.8pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.2
Score range: 50–144
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 107.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

258.7Season APEX429.1

30.3Auto27.9

76.8Teleop37.7

21.9Endgame7.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	38
teleop	46	86
endgame	31	40
foul	0	0
total	98	164

Result

Final score

98 – 164

Prediction missed · off by 61.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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