Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
67.39 – 157.73
25%75%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
61 – 254
Prediction correct · off by 51.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 352.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 63.5Event APEX 42.27Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 26.92Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40.1Event APEX -1.8Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 466.1 ±10.7
Season APEX 195.9Event APEX 33.77Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 16.59Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 107.37Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4325, 3620, 7809
56
/ 100 compatProjected
67.4 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4325, 3620, 7809
Auto
13.7 20%
Teleop
37.9 55%
Endgame
17.0 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5462, 11491, 4237
89
/ 100 compatProjected
157.7 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5462, 11491, 4237
Auto
43.9 27%
Teleop
87.7 54%
Endgame
30.5 19%
Strengths
- · 4237 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.09
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score67.4pts
Blue projected score157.7pts
Red win probability25%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -90.3
- Score range
- 48–177
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
352.2Season APEX466.1
13.7Auto43.9
37.9Teleop87.7
17Endgame30.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 37 |
| teleop | 29 | 141 |
| endgame | 12 | 56 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 61 | 254 |
Result
Final score
61 – 254
Prediction correct · off by 51.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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