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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

227.9210.15

94%6%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

41274

Prediction correct · off by 124 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 538.6 ±10.2
Season APEX 74Event APEX 32.29Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 67.98Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 127.65Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 15.68Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.6Event APEX -15.46Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 9.93Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11431, 10633, 6002
90
/ 100 compat
Projected
227.9 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 11431, 10633, 6002
Auto
44.8 20%
Teleop
125.9 55%
Endgame
58.0 25%
Strengths
  • · 6002 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9208, 6548, 1940
12
/ 100 compat
Projected
10.1 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9208, 6548, 1940
Auto
12.2 94%
Teleop
0.7 5%
Endgame
0.1 1%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.6
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score227.9pts
Blue projected score10.1pts
Red win probability94%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
217.8
Score range
-7245
Upset likelihood
6%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 486 vs event baseline 94.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

538.6Season APEX166.6
44.8Auto12.2
125.9Teleop0.7
58Endgame0.1
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto5726
teleop23727
endgame11821
foul00
total41274

Result

Final score

41274

Prediction correct · off by 124 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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