Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
227.92 – 10.15
94%6%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
412 – 74
Prediction correct · off by 124 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 538.6 ±10.2
Season APEX 74Event APEX 32.29Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 197.3Event APEX 67.98Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 127.65Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 78.9Event APEX 15.68Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.6Event APEX -15.46Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.1Event APEX 9.93Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11431, 10633, 6002
90
/ 100 compatProjected
227.9 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 11431, 10633, 6002
Auto
44.8 20%
Teleop
125.9 55%
Endgame
58.0 25%
Strengths
- · 6002 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9208, 6548, 1940
12
/ 100 compatProjected
10.1 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9208, 6548, 1940
Auto
12.2 94%
Teleop
0.7 5%
Endgame
0.1 1%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.6
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score227.9pts
Blue projected score10.1pts
Red win probability94%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 217.8
- Score range
- -7–245
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
538.6Season APEX166.6
44.8Auto12.2
125.9Teleop0.7
58Endgame0.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 57 | 26 |
| teleop | 237 | 27 |
| endgame | 118 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 412 | 74 |
Result
Final score
412 – 74
Prediction correct · off by 124 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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