Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
23.21 – 135.29
20%80%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
33 – 31
Prediction missed · off by 57 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 123.8 ±13.3
Season APEX 49.8Event APEX -12.29Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 15.8Event APEX 23.62Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 11.88Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177 ±12.7
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 63.54Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67Event APEX 55.08Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 16.67Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10642, 7203, 1504
26
/ 100 compatProjected
23.2 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 10642, 7203, 1504
Auto
13.5 56%
Teleop
9.0 37%
Endgame
1.8 7%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10473, 5927, 11511
83
/ 100 compatProjected
135.3 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10473, 5927, 11511
Auto
28.8 22%
Teleop
68.0 52%
Endgame
34.7 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score23.2pts
Blue projected score135.3pts
Red win probability20%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -112.1
- Score range
- 4–154
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
123.8Season APEX177
13.5Auto28.8
9Teleop68
1.8Endgame34.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 13 |
| teleop | 1 | 14 |
| endgame | 2 | 4 |
| foul | 20 | 0 |
| total | 33 | 31 |
Result
Final score
33 – 31
Prediction missed · off by 57 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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