FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

90.81 – 72.77

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

269 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 107 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 463.4 ±9.8

4855Ramageddon

Season APEX 117.9Event APEX 42.71Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 5.07Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 43.03Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 369 ±12.4

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 44.72Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2960Automation Nation

Season APEX 257Event APEX -3.55Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9758Pantron-X

Season APEX 37Event APEX 31.6Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4855, 3452, 4237

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4855, 3452, 4237

Auto

27.4 31%

Teleop

49.0 56%

Endgame

11.3 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6588, 2960, 9758

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6588, 2960, 9758

Auto

28.9 38%

Teleop

56.2 75%

Endgame

-9.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.8pts

Blue projected score72.8pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18
Score range: 55–109
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 306 vs event baseline 99.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

463.4Season APEX369

27.4Auto28.9

49Teleop56.2

11.3Endgame-9.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	10
teleop	148	24
endgame	59	3
foul	0	0
total	269	37

Result

Final score

269 – 37

Prediction correct · off by 107 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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