FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.05 – 89.08

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

49 – 32

Prediction missed · off by 35.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.6 ±12.8

7203Cyber Bearcats

Season APEX 15.8Event APEX -8.65Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3452GreengineerZ

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 56.09Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11399Timber Tech

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 14.61Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.8 ±13.3

6548Perry RAMBOTS

Season APEX 52.6Event APEX 29.29Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11431TechnoTigers

Season APEX 74Event APEX 39.63Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1504Desperate Penguins

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 20.16Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7203, 3452, 11399

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 7203, 3452, 11399

Auto

22.5 42%

Teleop

27.3 51%

Endgame

3.4 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6548, 11431, 1504

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6548, 11431, 1504

Auto

20.1 23%

Teleop

47.9 54%

Endgame

20.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.1pts

Blue projected score89.1pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -27
Score range: 36–115
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 81 vs event baseline 144.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.6Season APEX184.8

22.5Auto20.1

27.3Teleop47.9

3.4Endgame20.3

37Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	9
teleop	19	16
endgame	20	7
foul	0	0
total	49	32

Result

Final score

49 – 32

Prediction missed · off by 35.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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