FIM District Berrien Springs Event presented by Edgewater Automation

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

370.68 – 169.12

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

434 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 567.6 ±10.2

4237Team Lance-A-Bot

Season APEX 225.3Event APEX 171.67Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6588Counter-Torque Robotics

Season APEX 75Event APEX 11Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6002ZooBOTix

Season APEX 267.3Event APEX 188.01Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355.2 ±10.5

9182Tech Tr1be

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 14.08Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

302The Dragons

Season APEX 175.5Event APEX 74.55Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5535Bionic Bison

Season APEX 130.9Event APEX 80.49Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4237, 6588, 6002

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4237, 6588, 6002

Auto

59.1 16%

Teleop

218.7 60%

Endgame

88.0 24%

Strengths

· 6002 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9182, 302, 5535

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9182, 302, 5535

Auto

28.1 17%

Teleop

89.4 55%

Endgame

45.9 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score370.7pts

Blue projected score169.1pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 201.6
Score range: 144–396
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 648 vs event baseline 140.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

567.6Season APEX355.2

59.1Auto28.1

218.7Teleop89.4

88Endgame45.9

20Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	15
teleop	218	112
endgame	141	77
foul	0	10
total	434	214

Result

Final score

434 – 214

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 pts

Match videos

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