FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

190.19 – 139.36

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

201 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 329.4 ±11.1

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 88.14Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 67.57Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 34.48Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 220.5 ±13.9

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 86.14Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 48.75Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11505Kensington Woods Robotics

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 4.47Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5708, 245, 5498

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5708, 245, 5498

Auto

30.0 16%

Teleop

96.0 52%

Endgame

58.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5053, 4737, 11505

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5053, 4737, 11505

Auto

17.7 13%

Teleop

79.2 57%

Endgame

41.3 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score190.2pts

Blue projected score139.4pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.8
Score range: 113–216
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 379 vs event baseline 143.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

329.4Season APEX220.5

30Auto17.7

96Teleop79.2

58Endgame41.3

12Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	21
teleop	126	95
endgame	34	57
foul	5	5
total	201	178

Result

Final score

201 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 pts

Match videos

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