FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

258.56 – 210.9

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

285 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.9 ±9.9

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 119.18Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6538Linc-Bots

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 33.89Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 105.49Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 487.7 ±11.2

9455DinoMights

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 18.49Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 93.68Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 98.73Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4391, 6538, 6615

/ 100 compat

Projected

258.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4391, 6538, 6615

Auto

53.6 21%

Teleop

144.3 56%

Endgame

60.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9455, 1701, 1188

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9455, 1701, 1188

Auto

64.0 31%

Teleop

122.8 60%

Endgame

18.2 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score258.6pts

Blue projected score210.9pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.7
Score range: 185–285
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 537 vs event baseline 142.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592.9Season APEX487.7

53.6Auto64

144.3Teleop122.8

60.5Endgame18.2

3Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	67
teleop	167	155
endgame	35	20
foul	20	10
total	285	252

Result

Final score

285 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 33.8 pts

Match videos

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