FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

358.26 – 180.16

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

382 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 44.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 568.2 ±10.7

6618WARHBOTS

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 42.9Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 162.64Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3641The Flying Toasters

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 152.72Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 329.4 ±11.1

5708Zebrotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 84.42Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

245Adambots

Season APEX 181.6Event APEX 64.76Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5498The Wired Devils

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 30.98Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6618, 3656, 3641

/ 100 compat

Projected

358.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6618, 3656, 3641

Auto

73.6 21%

Teleop

205.9 58%

Endgame

75.7 21%

Strengths

· 3656 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5708, 245, 5498

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5708, 245, 5498

Auto

29.7 17%

Teleop

97.5 55%

Endgame

48.5 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score358.3pts

Blue projected score180.2pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 178.1
Score range: 155–383
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 627 vs event baseline 140.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

568.2Season APEX329.4

73.6Auto29.7

205.9Teleop97.5

75.7Endgame48.5

0Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	98	33
teleop	203	92
endgame	76	105
foul	5	15
total	382	245

Result

Final score

382 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 44.3 pts

Match videos

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