FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

212.46 – 161.76

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

276 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 43.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 468.6 ±10.5

5067Steiner Steel Storm

Season APEX 52Event APEX 27.43Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 90.7Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1188The Ravens

Season APEX 115.3Event APEX 94.33Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 218.3 ±13.9

5053Lakers

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 86.8Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4737Atomigators

Season APEX 68.5Event APEX 48.74Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8832AutoDawgs

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 26.22Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5067, 1701, 1188

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5067, 1701, 1188

Auto

67.1 33%

Teleop

120.1 59%

Endgame

17.0 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5053, 4737, 8832

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5053, 4737, 8832

Auto

16.5 10%

Teleop

97.7 61%

Endgame

45.6 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score212.5pts

Blue projected score161.8pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.7
Score range: 137–237
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 414 vs event baseline 138.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

468.6Season APEX218.3

67.1Auto16.5

120.1Teleop97.7

17Endgame45.6

26Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	20
teleop	174	52
endgame	35	61
foul	0	5
total	276	138

Result

Final score

276 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 43.6 pts

Match videos

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