FIM District Belleville Event presented by DTE

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

246.79 – 110.74

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

316 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 44.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.9 ±9.9

4391BraveBots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 115.86Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6615Bellevillains

Season APEX 233.6Event APEX 101.95Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6538Linc-Bots

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 28.98Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352.5 ±12.4

6029Railbots

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 26.88Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9204Aluminum Armada

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 20.21Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6528Terror Bytes

Season APEX 247.3Event APEX 63.65Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4391, 6615, 6538

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4391, 6615, 6538

Auto

52.1 21%

Teleop

132.5 54%

Endgame

62.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6029, 9204, 6528

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6029, 9204, 6528

Auto

32.5 31%

Teleop

52.2 49%

Endgame

21.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score246.8pts

Blue projected score110.7pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample188alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 136.1
Score range: 86–272
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 447 vs event baseline 137.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592.9Season APEX352.5

52.1Auto32.5

132.5Teleop52.2

62Endgame21.7

11Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	47
teleop	196	45
endgame	60	39
foul	0	0
total	316	131

Result

Final score

316 – 131

Prediction correct · off by 44.7 pts

Match videos

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