Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
60.79 – 87.72
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
56 – 59
Prediction correct · off by 16.8 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 226.2 ±12.1
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 22.57Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52Event APEX 13.36Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99Event APEX 24.86Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 224.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 22.57Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 40.29Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120.3Event APEX 24.86Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9751, 5067, 5708
52
/ 100 compatProjected
60.8 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9751, 5067, 5708
Auto
11.4 19%
Teleop
29.5 49%
Endgame
19.7 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5498, 8832, 1250
63
/ 100 compatProjected
87.7 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5498, 8832, 1250
Auto
23.1 27%
Teleop
39.4 46%
Endgame
23.7 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.63
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score60.8pts
Blue projected score87.7pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample188alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -26.9
- Score range
- 42–107
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
226.2Season APEX224.6
11.4Auto23.1
29.5Teleop39.4
19.7Endgame23.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 19 |
| teleop | 18 | 28 |
| endgame | 12 | 12 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 56 | 59 |
Result
Final score
56 – 59
Prediction correct · off by 16.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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